AI Daily Brief: Matthew Berman, AI R&D 80%; Anthropic Vets Evals
Audio in Mandarin Chinese · English transcript below
⚡ Meter: Anthropic Oct 2026 gains ~2x faster; ~80% AI-driven; access/publish gated
AI self-acceleration is now a fact, but the power to verify it still rests with the entity being verified. Meter has entered Anthropic's internal measurement process, where model capabilities are found to be improving twice as fast as before, with the gains coming mainly from AI's participation in R&D rather than from human labor and compute. Notably, whether the conclusions can be made public and how far they can be opened up is still decided by Anthropic itself. Viewed together, the steeper the capability curve, the more problematic the independence of evaluation becomes.
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Meter with Anthropic access estimates capability gains by Oct 2026 at ~2x Mar 2024–Oct 2025 pace, ~80% from AI itself, not staff/compute. Anthropic controls access and publishing.
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